Australian MHW forecasts
Forecasts of marine heatwave conditions are generated for each region of Australia illustrated in the map. The Gulf of Carpentaria cannot be forecast as this region is not well represented in the input data.
Each of the plots below shows the seasonal MHW threshold (red line). The recent observed temperature (black) and threshold for a marine heatwave index for the box (red) can be compared to the forecast temperature for the region (blue). Where the blue line exceeds the red line, we forecast MHWs for the month.
Forecasts
Open allClose allThese images show the forecast skill for each region (based on correlation and mean-square-error, MSE).
North Queensland
1. North Queensland
South Queensland
2. South Queensland
Eastern Australia
3, Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
4. South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
5. Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
6. Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
7. South-west Australia
West Australia
8. West Australia
North-west Australia
9. North-west Australia
Northern Australia
10. Northern Australia
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
All areas
North Queensland
South Queensland
Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
West Australia
North-west Australia
Northern Australia
Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
North Queensland
1. North Queensland
South Queensland
2. South Queensland
Eastern Australia
3. Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
4. South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
5. Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
6. Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
7. South-west Australia
West Australia
8. West Australia
North-west Australia
9. North-west Australia
Northern Australia
10. Northern Australia
Coral Sea
11. Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
12. Indian Ocean Territories
North Queensland
1. North Queensland
South Queensland
2. South Queensland
Eastern Australia
3. Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
4. South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
5. Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
6. Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
7. South-west Australia
West Australia
8. West Australia
North-west Australia
9. North-west Australia
Northern Australia
10. Northern Australia
Coral Sea
11. Coral Sea
Indian Ocean Territories
12. Indian Ocean Territories
North Queensland
1. North Queensland
South Queensland
2. South Queensland
Eastern Australia
3. Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
4. South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
5. Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
6. Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
7. South-west Australia
West Australia
8. West Australia
North-west Australia
9. North-west Australia
Northern Australia
10. Northern Australia
North Queensland
1. North Queensland
South Queensland
2. South Queensland
Eastern Australia
3. Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
4. South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
5. Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
6. Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
7. South-west Australia
West Australia
8. West Australia
North-west Australia
9. North-west Australia
Northern Australia
10. Northern Australia
North Queensland
1. North Queensland
South Queensland
2. South Queensland
Eastern Australia
3. Eastern Australia
South-east Australia
4. South-east Australia
Victoria-South Australia
5. Victoria-South Australia
Great Australian Bight
6. Great Australian Bight
South-west Australia
7. South-west Australia
West Australia
8. West Australia
North-west Australia
9. North-west Australia
Northern Australia
10. Northern Australia