Publications

Selected Publications 2019

  • Quinn, C., Sieber, J., & von der Heydt, A. S. (2019). Effects of Periodic Forcing on a Paleoclimate Delay Model. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 18(2), 1060-1077.
    (https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/18M1203079)
  • Alkhayuon, H., Ashwin, P., Jackson, L. C., Quinn, C., & Wood, R. A. (2019). Basin bifurcations, oscillatory instability and rate-induced thresholds for Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a global oceanic box model. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 475: 20190051. (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31236059)
  • Falkena, S. K., Quinn, C., Sieber, J., Frank, J., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2019). Derivation of delay equation climate models using the Mori-Zwanzig formalism. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 475: 20190075.
  • Andrew, S.C., Hobday, A., Thom, B.G., Brent, K., and Matear, R. (2019) Australia needs to drive climate intervention — and do it with innovative leadership, The Mandarin,  Wednesday June 19, 2019.
  • Babcock, R.C., Bustamante R.H., Fulton, E.A., Fulton, D.J., Haywood, M.D.E, Hobday, A.J., Kenyon, R., Matear, R.J., Plagányi, E.E., Richardson, A.J., and Vanderklift, M.A. (2019) Severe Continental-Scale Impacts of Climate Change Are Happening Now: Extreme Climate Events Impact Marine Habitat Forming Communities Along 45% of Australia’s Coast, Frontiers in Marine Science,
    24 July 2019 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00411
  • Downes, S. M., Sloyan, B. M., Rintoul, S. R., Lupton, J. E., (2019). Hydrothermal heat enhances abyssal mixing in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, doi:10.1029/2018GL080410
  • Buchanan, P. J., Matear, R. J., Chase, Z., Phipps, S. J., & Bindoff, N. L. (2019). Ocean carbon and nitrogen isotopes in CSIRO Mk3L-COAL version 1.0: a tool for palaeoceanographic research. Geoscientific Model Development, 1–44, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1491-2019
  • Chamberlain, M.A., R.J. Matear, M. Holzer, D. Bi and S.J. Marsland (2019) Transport matrices from standard ocean-model output and quantifying circulation response to climate change, Ocean Modelling 135, 1—13, doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.01.005
  • Frederiksen, Jorgen S., O’Kane, Terence J., Markovian Inhomogeneous Closures for Rossby Waves and Turbulence Over Topography, J. Fluid Mech, (2019), vol 858, 45-70 doi:10.1017/jfm.2018.784
  • Kitsios, V., Frederiksen, J., (2019) Subgrid Parameterizations of the Eddy-Eddy, Eddy-Mean Field, Eddy- Topographic, Mean Field – Mean Field, and Mean Field-Topographic Interactions in Atmospheric Models American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0255.1
  • Ma, J., Feng, M., Sloyan, B.M., Jian, J., (2019) Pacific Influences on the Meridional Temperature Transport of the Indian Ocean Journal of Climate (In Press)
  • Kushnir, Yochanan., Scaife, Adam A., Arritt, Raymond., Balsamo, Gianpaolo., Boer, George., Doblas-Reyes, Francisco., Hawkins, Ed., Kimoto, Masahide., Kolli, Rupa Kumar., Kumar, Arun., Matei, Daniela., Matthes, Katja., Muller, Wolfgang A., O’Kane, Terence J., Perlwitz, Judith., Power, Scott., Raphael, Marilyn., Shimpo, Akihiko., Smith, Doug., Tuma, Matthias., Wu, Bo, (2019) Towards Operational Predictions of the Near – Term Climate, Nature Climate Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7
  • O’Kane, T.J., P.A. Sandery, D.P. Monselesan, P. Sakov, M.A. Chamberlain, R.J. Matear, M.A. Collier, D.T. Squire & L. Stevens (2019) “Coupled data assimilation and ensemble initialization with application to multi-year ENSO prediction”, J. Climate, 32, 997—1024
  • Quinn, C., Sieber, J., & von der Heydt, A. S. (2019). Effects of periodic forcing on a Paleoclimate delay model. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, arXiv:1808.02310. ( to be published in June)
  • Risbey, J.S., D.P. Monselesan, T.J. O’Kane, C.R. Tozer, M.J. Pook and P.T. Haymen (2019) “Synoptic and large scale determinants of extreme Austral frost events” In Press J. Applied Meteorology and Climatology
  • Tulloch, V. J. D., Plaganyi, E., Brown, C., Brown, C. W., Anthony J Richardson, & Matear, R. (2019). Future recovery of baleen whales is imperiled by climate change. Global Change Biology, 1, 1–19. http://doi.org/DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14573

OceanObs’19 Community Whitepapers

  • Sprintall, J., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B.M.) 2019. Detecting Change in the Indonesian Seas Frontiers in Marine Science, in press
  • Todd, R., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B.M.) 2019. Global Perspectives on Observing Ocean Boundary Current Systems. Frontiers in Marine Science, in press
  • Testor, P., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.) 2019. Ocean Gliders: a component of the integrated GOOS. Frontiers in Marine Science, in press
  • Hermes, J. C., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.) 2019. A sustained ocean observing system in the Indian Ocean for climate related scientific knowledge and societal needs. Frontiers in Marine Science, in press
  • Palmer, M. D., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.) 2019. Adequacy of the ocean observation system for quantifying regional heat and freshwater storage and change.  Frontiers in Marine Science, in press

Selected Publications 2018

July to December 2018

  • Bax, H.J., Ward Appletans, W., Brainard, Duffy, R.J.E., Dunstan, P., Hanich, Q., Harden Davies, H., Hills, J., Miloslavich, P., Muller-Karger, F., Simmons, S., Aburto-Oropeza, O., Batten, S., Benedetti-Cecchi, L., Checkley, D., Chiba, S., Fischer, A., Andersen Garcia, M., Gunn, J., Klein, E., Kudela, R., Marsac, F., Obura, D., Shin, Y-J., Sloyan, B., Tanhua, T., Wilkin, J., (2018) Linking Capacity Development to GOOS Monitoring Networks to Achieve Sustained Ocean Observation, Frontiers in Marine Science, Front. Mar. Sci 5:346 https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00346
  • Boss, E., Waite, A., Muller-Karger, F., Yamazaki, H., Wanninkhof, R., Uitz, J., Thomalla, S., Sosik, H., Sloyan, B., Richardson, R., Miloslavich, P., Karstensen, J., Gregori, G., Fennel, K., Claustre, H., Cornejo, M., Berma-Frnak, I., Batten, S. and Acinas, S., (2018) Beyond Chlorophyll Fluorescence: The Time in Right to Expand Biological Measurements in Ocean Observing Programs. Limnology and Oceanography Bulletin 1-2 https://doi.org/10.1002/lob.10243
  • Dunstan, P.K., Foster, S.D., King, E., Risbey, J.S., O’Kane, T.J., Monselesan, D., Hobday, A., Hartog, J., Thompson, P., (2018) Interactions in global patterns of variation in Sea Surface Temperature and Chlorophyll A produce mesoscale unique states (accepted Scientific Reports)
  • Gwyther, D.E., O’Kane, T.J., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., Monselesan, D.P., (2018) Intrinsic processes drive variability in basal melting of the Totten Glacier Ice Shelf Nature Communications 3141 http://DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05618-2
  • Hauck, J., Lenton, A., Langlais, C., and Matear, R.J., (2018) The Fate of Carbon and Nutrients Exported Out of the Southern OceanGlobal Biogeochemical Cycles, 40(2), 3419 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB005977
  • Hurd, C. L., Lenton, A., Tilbrook, B., and Boyd, P. W., (2018) The Oceans in a Higher CO2 World: Current Status and Future ChallengesNature Climate Change, 686-694 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0211-0
  • Ji, D., Fang, S., Curry, C. :., Kashimura, H., Watanabe, S., Cole, J. N. S., Lenton, A., Muri, H., Kravitz, B., and Moore, J. C. (2018): Extreme temperature and precipitation response to solar dimming and stratospheric aerosol geoengineering Atmos. Chem. Phys. 18 10133-10156  https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-10133-2018 
  • Keller, D., Lenton, A., Littleton, E., Oschlies, A., Scott, V., Vaughan, N.E., The effects of carbon dioxide Removal on the carbon cycleCurrent Climate Change Reportshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0104-3
  • Keller, D., Lenton, A., Scott, V., Vaughan, N., Bauer, N., Jones, C., Kravitz, B., Muri, H., Zickfeld, K., The carbon dioxide removal model intercomparison project (CDRMIP)L Rationale and experimental designGeosci. Mode. Dev., 11, 1133 – 1160 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1133-2018
  • Kravitz, B., Rasch, P.J., Wang, H., Robock, A., Gabriel, C., Boucher, O., Cole, J.N.S., Haywood, J., Ji, D., Jones, A., Lenton, A., Moore, J.C., Muri, H., Niemeier, U., Phipps, S., Schmidt, H., Watanabe, S., Yang, S., Yoon, J.H., The climate effects of increasing ocean albedo: an idealized representation of solar geoengineeringAtmos. Chem, Phys., 18, 13097 – 13113 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-13097-2018
  • Laiolo, Leonardo; Matear, Richard; Baird, Mark; Wozniak, Monika; Doblin, Martina (2018) Information content of in situ and remotely sensed Chlorophyll-a: Learning from size-structured phytoplankton model Journal of Marine Systems 183 1-12 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2018.03.005
  • Lenton, Andrew; Matear, Richard; Keller, David; Scott, Vivian; Vaughan, Naomi; (2018) Assessing carbon dioxide removal through global and regional ocean alkalization under high and low emission pathways Earth System Dynamics 9 (2), 339-357. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-339-2018
  • Lenton, A., Constraining ocean transportNature Geoscience,11, 461-462 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0165-x
  • Lenton, A., Matear, R.J., Mongin, M., Effects of climate change on ocean acidification relevant to Pacific islands, Pacific Islands Pacific Climate Change Report, Science Review, 31-42
  • Lewandowsky, S., Cowtan, K., Risbey, J.S., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Oreskes, N., and Rahmstorf, S., (2018) The ‘Pause’ in Global Warming in Historical Context: (II). Comparing Models to Observations, Environmental Research Letters 13 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf372
  • Menviel, L., Spence, P., Yu, J., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., Meissner, K.J., and England, M.H., (2018) Southern Hemisphere Westerlies as a Driver of the Early Deglacial Atmospheric CO² Rise, Nature Communications 9(1), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04876-4
  • O’Kane, T.J., Sandery, P.A., Monselesan, D.P., Sakov, P., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., Collier, M., Squire, D.T and Stevens, L., (2018) Coupled Data Assimilation and Ensemble Initialisation with Application to Multi-Year ENSO Prediction, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0189.1
  • Raes, E.J., Bodrossy, L., Van De Kamp, J., Bissett, A., Ostrowski, M., Brown, M., Sow, S.L.S., Waite, A.M and Sloyan, B.M., (2018) Oceanographic Biome Boundaries Constrain Microbial Richness in the South Pacific Ocean, Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1719335115
  • Risbey, J.S., Lewandowsky, A., Cowtan, K., Oreskes, N., Rahmstorf, S., Jokimaki, A and Grant Foster., (2018) A Fluctuation in Surface Temperature in Historical Context: Reassessment and Retrospective on the Evidence, Environmental Research Letters 13 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf342
  • Risbey, James; O’Kane, Terry; Monselesan, Didier; Franzke, Christian; Horenko, Illia (2018) On the dynamics of Austral heat waves Journal of Geophysical, Atmospheres 123 (1) 38-57 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027222 
  • Sandery, P., 2018: Data assimilation cycle length and observation impact in mesoscale ocean forecasting. Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 4011–4019, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4011-2018
  • Schroeter, S., Hobbs, W., Bindoff, N. L., Massom, R., & Matear, R. J. (2018). Drivers of Antarctic Sea Ice Volume Change in CMIP5 Models. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 123(11), 7914–7938. http://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014177
  • Tozer, C.R., Risbey, J.S., O’Kane, T.J., Monselesan, D.P., and Pook, M.J., (2018) The Relationship Between Wave Trains in the Southern Hemisphere Storm Track and Rainfall Extremes over Tasmania Mon, Wea, Rev., 146 4201-4230 https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0135.1
  • Yang, L., Nikurashin, M., Hogg, A. McC., and Sloyan, B.M (2018) Energy Loss From Transient Eddies Due to Lee Wave Generation in the Southern Ocean Journal of Physical Oceanography https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0077.1

January to July 2018

  • Buchanan, Pearse; Matear, Richard; Chase, Z; Phipps, Steven; Bindoff, Nathan (2018) Dynamic biological functioning important for simulating and stabilising ocean biogeochemistry Global Biogeochemical Cycles 1-69 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GB005753
  • Dunstan, Piers; Moore, Brad; Bell, Johann; Holbrook, Neil; Oliver, Eric; Risbey, James; Foster, Scott; Hanich, Quentin, Hobday, Alistair; Bennett, Nathan (2018) How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal fisheries in pacific small-island developing states? Marine Policy 88 295-302 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.033
  • Langlais, Clothilde; Lenton, Andrew; Matear, Richard; Monselesan, Didier; Legresy, Benoit; Rintoul, Steve (2018) Stationary Rossby Waves dominate subduction of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Southern Ocean Scientific Reports 7, 17076 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-17292-3
  • Llort Jordi, Joan; Langlais, Clothilde; Matear, Richard; Moreau, Sebastien; Lenton, Andrew; Strutton, Peter (2018) Evaluating Southern Ocean carbon eddy-pump from Biogeochemical- Argo Floats Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans 123 1-14 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC012861
  • Matear, Richard; Lenton, Andrew (2018) Carbon-Climate feedbacks accelerate ocean acidification Biogeosciences 15 1721-1732 https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-1721-2018
  • Seneviratne, S., Phipps, S.J., Ptman, A.J., Hirsch, A.L., Davin, E.L., Donat, MG., Hirschi, M., Lenton, A., Wilhelm, M., Kravitz, B., (2018) Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation, Nature Geoscience 11 88-96 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5
  • Sloyan, B.M., Roughan, M., Hill, K., (2018) The Global Ocean Observing System. In New Frontiers in Operational Oceanography, E. Chassignet, A.Pascual, J. Tintoré, and J. Verron, Eds., GODAE OceanView, 75-90

Selected Publications 2017

  • Buchanan, Pearse; Matear, Richard; Lenton, Andrew; Etheridge, David (2017) The simulated climate of the last glacial maximum and insights into the global carbon cycle Climate of the Past 12 1-25 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1-2016
  • C.L.E. Franzke and T.J. O’Kane (Eds) NonLinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics http://www.cambridge.org/au/academic/subjects/earth-and-environmental-science/climatology-and-climate-change/nonlinear-and-stochastic-climate-dynamics#lMbmjFpXXiYdFBpC.99
  • Grose, Michael; Black, Mitchell; Risbey, James; Uhe, Peter; Hope, Pandora; Haustein, Kerstin; Mitchell, Daniel (2018) Severe frosts in Western Australia in September 2016 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 1-5 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0088.1
  • Melbourne-Thomas, Jessica; Constable, Andrew; Fulton, Beth; Corney, Stuart; Blanchard, Julia; Boschetti, Fabio; Brown, Chris; Bustamante, Rodrigo; Cropp, Roger; Everett, Jason; Fleming, Aysha; Galton-Fenzi, Ben; Goldsworthy, Simon; Lara-Lopez, Ana; Little, Rich; Marzloff, Martin; Matear, Richard; Mongin, Mathieu; Hobday, Alistair; Plaganyi-Lloyd, Eva; Proctor, Roger; Lenton, Andrew; Risbey, James; Robson, Barbara; Smith, David; Summer, Michael; Trebilco, Rowan; Van Putten, Ingrid (2017) Integrated modelling to support decision-making for marine social-ecological systems in Australia ICES Journal of Marine Systems https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsx078
  • O’Kane, Terry; Monselesan, Didier; Risbey, James;  (2017) A multiscale re-examination of the Pacific South American Pattern Monthly Weather Review 145 (1) 379-402 https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0291.1
  • O’Kane, Terry; Monselesan, Didier; Risbey, James; Horenko, Illia; Franzke, Christian (2017) On memory, dimension and atmospheric teleconnections Mathematics of Climate and Weather Forecasting 3 (1) 1-27 https://doi.org/10.1515/mcwf-2017-0001
  • Risbey, James; Grose, Michael; Monselesan, Didier; O’Kane, Terry; Lewandowsky, Stephan (2017) Transient response of the global mean warming rate and its spatial variation Weather and Climate Extremes 8 (S1) 55-64 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2017.11.002