Black, A. S., Risbey, J. S., Chapman, C. C., Monselesan, D. P., Moore,T. S., Pook, M. J., Richardson, D., Sloyan, B.M., Squire, D.T., and Tozer, C.R. (2021), Australian northwest cloudbands and their relationship to atmospheric rivers and precipitation. Monthly Weather Review, in press.
Falkena, S.K.J., Quinn, C., Sieber, J., Dijkstra, H.A. (2021), A delay equation model for the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Proceedings of the Royal Society (Research Paper). Published:17 February 2021. doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2020.0659
Richardson, D., Black, A.S., Monselesan, D.P., Moore, T.S., Risbey, J.S., Shepen, A., Squire, D.T., Tozer, C.R. (2021), Identifying Periods of Forecast Model Confidence for Improved Subseasonal Prediction of PrecipitationJournal of Hydrometeorology Volume 22: Issue 2. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0054.1
Kitsios, V., Sandery, O’Kane, T.J. & Fiedler, R., (2021) Ensemble Kalman filter parameter estimation of ocean optical properties for reduced biases in a coupled general circulation model, Journal of Advances in Modeling the Earth System, Vol. 13, Issue 2, e2020MS002252. dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002252.
Selected Publications 2020
Holzer, M., Chamberlain, M.A., and Matear, R.J. (2020), Climate‐driven changes in the ocean’s ventilation pathways and timescales diagnosed from transport matrices, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 1–36, doi:10.1029/2020JC016414.
Pethybridge, H. R. et al. (2020), Contrasting Futures for Australia’s Fisheries Stocks Under IPCC RCP8.5 Emissions – A Multi-Ecosystem Model Approach, Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 778, doi:10.3389/fmars.2020.577964.
Soja-Wozniak, M., Laiolo, L. Baird ,M. E., Matear, R. J., Clementson, L., Schroeder,T., Doblin, M. A., and Suthers, I. M. (2020), Effect of phytoplankton community size structure on remote-sensing reflectance and chlorophyll a products, Journal of Marine Systems, 211, 103400, doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2020.103400.
Black, A.S., Risbey, J.S., Chapman, C.C., Monselesan, D.P., Moore, T.S., Pook, M.J., Richardson, D., Sloyan, B. M., Squire, D.T. and Tozer, C.R. (2020) Australian northwest cloudbands and their relationship to atmospheric rivers and precipitation, Monthly Weather Review, accepted with revision.
Watterson, I. G. (2020) Australian rainfall anomalies in 2018–2019 linked to Indo‐Pacific driver indices using ERA5 reanalysesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2020JD033041. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033041
Johnson, G.C., J.M. Lyman, T. Boyer, L. Cheng, C.M. Domingues, J. Gilson, M. Ishii, R.E. Killick, D. Monselesan, S.G. Purkey, and S.E. Wijffels (2020) Ocean heat content, in State of the Climate in 2019, Global Oceans. The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(8), S140–S144, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0105.1, View online.
Von Shuckmann, K., L. Cheng, M.D. Palmer, J. Hansen, C. Tassone, V. Aich, S. Adusumilli, H. Beltrami, T. Boyer, F.J. Cuesta-Valero, D. Desbruyères, C. Domingues, A. García-García, P. Gentine, J. Gilson, M. Gorfer, L. Haimberger, M. Ishii, G.C. Johnson, R. Killick, B.A. King, G. Kirchengast, N. Kolodziejczyk, J. Lyman, B. Marzeion, M. Mayer, M. Monier, D.P. Monselesan, S. Purkey, D. Roemmich, A. Schweiger, S.I. Seneviratne, A. Shepherd, D.A. Slater, A.K. Steiner, F. Straneo, M.L. Timmermanns, and S.E. Wijffels (2020): Heat stored in the Earth system: Where does the energy go?Earth System Science Data, 12, 2013–2041, doi: 10.5194/essd-12-2013-2020, View online.
Hayashida, H., Matear, R. J. and Strutton, P. G. (2020a), Background nutrient concentration determines phytoplankton bloom response to marine heatwaves, Global Change Biology, 1–26. doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15255
Hayashida, H., Matear, R.J., Strutton, P.G. and Zhang, X. (2020b), Insights into projected changes in marine heatwaves from a high-resolution ocean circulation model, Nature Communications, 11, 1–21. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18241-x
Chapman, C.C., Sloyan, B.M, O’Kane, T.J. and Chamberlain, M.A., 2020 Interannual Subtropical Indian Ocean Variability due to Long Baroclinic Planetary Waves,Journal of Climate, 33 (16): 6765–6791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0469.1
Sandery, P., O’Kane, T.J., Kitsios, V. & Sakov, P., State estimation of the climate system with the EnKF using variants of coupled data assimilation, Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 148, pp 2411-2431. doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0443.1
Chapman, C.C., Lea, M., Meyer, A. et al.Defining Southern Ocean fronts and their influence on biological and physical processes in a changing climate. Nature Climate Change 10, 209–219 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0705-4
Kiss et al (including Chapman, C) 2020: ACCESS-OM2 v1.0: a global ocean-sea ice model at three resolutions, Geophysical Model Development, 13, 401-442 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-401-2020
Harries, D. & O’Kane, T.J., (2020) Application of matrix factorization methods to climate dataNonlinear Processes Geophysics, Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-2020-7
Lou, J., O’Kane, T.J., & Holbrook, N.J. (2020) A linear inverse model of Tropical South Pacific Seasonal PredictabilityJournal of Climate, 33, 4537–4554 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0548.1
Quinn,C., O’Kane, T.J., and Kitsios, V. (2020) Application of a local attractor dimension to reduced space strongly coupled data assimilation for chaotic multiscale systems, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (NPG) Published: 19 Feb 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-51-2020
Kiem, A., Tessa R Vance, Carly R Tozer, Jason L Roberts, Ramona Dalla Pozza, John Vitkovsky, Kate Smolders and Mark AJ Curran, 2020: Learning from the past–Using palaeoclimate data to better understand and manage drought in South East Queensland (SEQ), Australia. Journal of Hydrology 29, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100686
Richardson, D., HJ Fowler, CG Kilsby, R Neal, and R Dankers 2020, Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach, Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences 20 (1). https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-107-2020
Tozer C, Risbey J, Bluhm S, Remenyi T. 2020. Industry engagement to identify climate sensitive decisions on multi-year timescales: TasLab Engage Final Report. Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub Report No. 13, NESP Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub, Australia.
Tozer, C. R., Risbey, J. S., Monselesan, D. P., Squire, D. T., Chamberlain, M. A., Matear, R. J., & Ziehn, T. (2020). Assessing the representation of southeast Australian climate extremes and their associated atmospheric circulation in climate models. In press Journal of Climate, 1–47. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0287.1
Selected Publications 2019
Grose, M., S. Foster, J. Risbey, S. Osbrough, and L. Wilson 2019: Using indices of atmospheric circulation to refine southern Australian winter rainfall climate projections, Climate Dynamics, {53}, 5481–5493. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04880-4
Allen, K., Anchukaitis, K.J., Grose, M.G., Cook, E.R., Risbey, J. S., Baker, P. J., Lee, G., O’Kane, T. J., Monselesan, D., O’Grady, A. & Larsen, S. (2019), Tree-Ring Reconstructions of cool season temperature for far southeastern Australia, Climate Dynamicsdoi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-04602-2
Goni G. J., et al (including Cowley, R.) 2019: More Than 50 Years of Successful Continuous Temperature Section Measurements by the Global Expendable Bathythermograph Network, Its Integrability, Societal Benefits, and Future. Frontiers in Marine Science 6:452. doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00452
Groeskamp et al (including Chapman, C), 2019: Climate Recorded in Seawater: A Workshop on Water-Mass Transformation Analysis for Ocean and Climate Studies. The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, ES243–ES247, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0153.1
Meyssignac. B. et al (including Cowley, R.), 2019: Measuring Global Ocean Heat Content to Estimate the Earth Energy Imbalance. Frontiers in MarineScience 6:432. doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00432
Lou, J., Holbrook, N., & O’Kane, T.J. (2019) The Relative Role of South Pacific Ocean Dynamics in Pacific Decadal Climate Predictability Journal of Climate, 32, pp6051—6069, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0249.1
Beal, L. M., Vialard, J., Roxy, M. K. and lead authors (including Sloyan, B) 2019: Full Report. IndOOS-2: A roadmap to sustained observations of the Indian Ocean for 2020-2030. CLIVAR-4/2019, GOOS-237, 206 pp. doi: https://doi.org/10.36071/clivar.rp.4.2019
Lewandowsky, S., T. Pilditch, J.Madsen, N. Oreskes, and J. Risbey 2019, Influence and seepage: An evidence-resistant minority can affect public opinion and scientific belief formation, Cognition, {188}, 124–139, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2019.01.011
Tozer, C., J. Risbey, M. Grose, D. Monselesan, D. Squire, Black, D. Richardson, S. Sparrow, S. Li, and D. Wallom 2019: A one-day extreme rainfall event in Tasmania: Process evaluation and long tail attribution. The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, {101} (1), s123–s128. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0219.1
Roberts, J. L., C. R. Tozer , M. Ho, A. S. Kiem, T. R. Vance , M. Jong, F. S. McCormack , and T. D. van Ommen, 2019: Reconciling Unevenly Sampled Paleoclimate Proxies: a Gaussian Kernel Correlation Multiproxy Reconstruction, Journal of Environmental Informatics, vol 35, issue 2, p. 118-127, doi:10.3808/jei.201900420
Richardson, D., Christopher G Kilsby, Hayley J Fowler, András Bárdossy 2019: Weekly to multi‐month persistence in sets of daily weather patterns over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean,International Journal of Climatology, 39 (4), 2041-2056. DOI: 10.1002/joc.5932
O’Kane, T.J., Squire, D.T., Sandery, P.A., Kitsios, V., Matear, R.J., Moore, T.S., Risbey, J.S., and Watterson, I.G., (2019), Enhanced ENSO prediction via augmentation of multi-model ensembles with initial thermocline perturbations, Journal of Climate, 33, pp2281–2293 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0444.1
Kitsios, V., O’Kane, T.J., & Zagar, N., (2019), A reduced order representation of the Madden-Julian oscillation based on reanalyzed normal mode coherences, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 76, pp 2463–2480. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0197.1
Tozer, C.R., Risbey, J.S., Monselesan, D.P., Squire, D.T., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., and Ziehn,T., (2019) Assessing the Representation of Australian Regional Climate Extremes and Their Associated Atmospheric Circulation in Climate Models, Journal of Climate, published online 11 November 2019doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0287.1
Sloyan, B. 2019. Contributing Author Chapter 5, Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystem and Dependent Communities in IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere1 in a Changing Climate (SROCC)
Sloyan, B. M., and co-authors. 2019. Evolving the global ocean observing system for research and application services through international coordination. Frontiers in Marine Science, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00449
Penny, S., and co-authors (including Sloyan B. M., O’Kane , T. J., Sandery, P., Chapman, C., Moore, T.,) 2019. Observational Needs for improving Ocean and Coupled Reanalysis, S2S Prediction, and Decadal Prediction Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 391, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00391
Sloyan, B. M., and co-authors, 2019. The Global Ocean Ship-Base Hydrographic Investigations Program (GO-SHIP): A platform for integrated multidisciplinary ocean science.Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 445, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00445
Tanhua, T., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.,) 2019. What We Have Learned From the Framework for Ocean Observing: Evolution of the Global Ocean Observing System. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 471, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00471
Carter, B.R., Feely, R.A., Wanninkhof, R., Kouketsu, S., Sonnerup, R.E., Pardo, P.C.,Sabine C.L., Johnson, G. C., Sloyan, B.M., Murata, A., Mecking, S., Tilbrook, B., Speer, K., Talley, L.D., Millero, F.J., Wijffels, S.E., Macdonald, A.M., Gruber, N., Bullister, J.L. Pacific anthropogenic carbon between 1991 and 2017.Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 33. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB006154
Buchanan, P. J., Chase, Z., Matear, R. J., Phipps, S. J., & Bindoff, N. L. (2019). Marine nitrogen fixers mediate a low latitude pathway for atmospheric CO2 drawdown. Nature Communications, 10(1), 1–10. http://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12549-z
Chamberlain, M. A., Matear, R. J., Holzer, M., Bi, D. H., & Marsland, S. J. (2019). Transport matrices from standard ocean-model output and quantifying circulation response to climate change. Ocean Modelling, 135, 1–13. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.01.005
Quinn, C., Sieber, J., & von der Heydt, A. S. (2019). Effects of Periodic Forcing on a Paleoclimate Delay Model. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 18(2), 1060-1077.
(https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/18M1203079)
Alkhayuon, H., Ashwin, P., Jackson, L. C., Quinn, C., & Wood, R. A. (2019). Basin bifurcations, oscillatory instability and rate-induced thresholds for Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a global oceanic box model. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 475: 20190051. (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31236059)
Falkena, S. K., Quinn, C., Sieber, J., Frank, J., & Dijkstra, H. A. (2019). Derivation of delay equation climate models using the Mori-Zwanzig formalism. Proceedings of the Royal SocietyA, 475: 20190075. DOI:10.1098/rspa.2019.0075
Andrew, S.C., Hobday, A., Thom, B.G., Brent, K., and Matear, R. (2019) Australia needs to drive climate intervention — and do it with innovative leadership, The Mandarin, Wednesday June 19, 2019.
Babcock, R.C., Bustamante R.H., Fulton, E.A., Fulton, D.J., Haywood, M.D.E, Hobday, A.J., Kenyon, R., Matear, R.J., Plagányi, E.E., Richardson, A.J., and Vanderklift, M.A. (2019) Severe Continental-Scale Impacts of Climate Change Are Happening Now: Extreme Climate Events Impact Marine Habitat Forming Communities Along 45% of Australia’s Coast, Frontiers in Marine Science, 24 July 2019 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00411
Downes, S. M., Sloyan, B. M., Rintoul, S. R., Lupton, J. E., (2019). Hydrothermal heat enhances abyssal mixing in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current,Geophysical Research Letters, 46, doi:10.1029/2018GL080410
Buchanan, P. J., Matear, R. J., Chase, Z., Phipps, S. J., & Bindoff, N. L. (2019). Ocean carbon and nitrogen isotopes in CSIRO Mk3L-COAL version 1.0: a tool for palaeoceanographic research. Geoscientific Model Development, 1–44, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1491-2019
Chamberlain, M.A., R.J. Matear, M. Holzer, D. Bi and S.J. Marsland (2019) Transport matrices from standard ocean-model output and quantifying circulation response to climate change,Ocean Modelling 135, 1—13, doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.01.005
Frederiksen, Jorgen S., O’Kane, Terence J., Markovian Inhomogeneous Closures for Rossby Waves and Turbulence Over Topography, J. Fluid Mech, (2019), vol 858, 45-70 doi:10.1017/jfm.2018.784
Kitsios, V., Frederiksen, J., (2019) Subgrid Parameterizations of the Eddy-Eddy, Eddy-Mean Field, Eddy- Topographic, Mean Field – Mean Field, and Mean Field-Topographic Interactions in Atmospheric ModelsAmerican Meteorological Societyhttps://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-18-0255.1
Ma, J., Feng, M., Sloyan, B.M., Jian, J., (2019) Pacific Influences on the Meridional Temperature Transport of the Indian OceanJournal of Climate (In Press)
Kushnir, Yochanan., Scaife, Adam A., Arritt, Raymond., Balsamo, Gianpaolo., Boer, George., Doblas-Reyes, Francisco., Hawkins, Ed., Kimoto, Masahide., Kolli, Rupa Kumar., Kumar, Arun., Matei, Daniela., Matthes, Katja., Muller, Wolfgang A., O’Kane, Terence J., Perlwitz, Judith., Power, Scott., Raphael, Marilyn., Shimpo, Akihiko., Smith, Doug., Tuma, Matthias., Wu, Bo, (2019) Towards Operational Predictions of the Near – Term Climate,Nature Climate Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7
O’Kane, T.J., P.A. Sandery, D.P. Monselesan, P. Sakov, M.A. Chamberlain, R.J. Matear, M.A. Collier, D.T. Squire & L. Stevens (2019) Coupled data assimilation and ensemble initialization with application to multi-year ENSO prediction, J. Climate, 32, 997—1024 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0189.1
Quinn, C., Sieber, J., & von der Heydt, A. S. (2019). Effects of periodic forcing on a Paleoclimate delay model. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, arXiv:1808.02310. ( to be published in June)
Risbey, J.S., D.P. Monselesan, T.J. O’Kane, C.R. Tozer, M.J. Pook and P.T. Haymen (2019) Synoptic and large scale determinants of extreme Austral frost eventsJ. Applied Meteorology and Climatology {58} (5), 1103–1124 https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0141.1
Tulloch, V. J. D., Plaganyi, E., Brown, C., Brown, C. W., Anthony J Richardson, & Matear, R. (2019). Future recovery of baleen whales is imperiled by climate changeGlobal Change Biology, 1, 1–19. http://doi.org/DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14573
OceanObs’19 Community Whitepapers
Sprintall, J., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B.M.,) 2019. Detecting Change in the Indonesian Seas Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00549
Todd, R., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B.M.,) 2019. Global Perspectives on Observing Ocean Boundary Current Systems. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 423. doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00423
Testor, P., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.,) 2019. Ocean Gliders: a component of the integrated GOOS. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 10.3389/fmars.2019.00422
Hermes, J. C., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.,) 2019. A sustained ocean observing system in the Indian Ocean for climate related scientific knowledge and societal needs. Frontiers in Marine, 6 Science, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00355
Palmer, M. D., and co-authors (including Sloyan, B. M.,) 2019. Adequacy of the ocean observation system for quantifying regional heat and freshwater storage and change. Frontiers in Marine Science, https://dio.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00416.
Selected Publications 2018
July to December 2018
Bax, H.J., Ward Appletans, W., Brainard, Duffy, R.J.E., Dunstan, P., Hanich, Q., Harden Davies, H., Hills, J., Miloslavich, P., Muller-Karger, F., Simmons, S., Aburto-Oropeza, O., Batten, S., Benedetti-Cecchi, L., Checkley, D., Chiba, S., Fischer, A., Andersen Garcia, M., Gunn, J., Klein, E., Kudela, R., Marsac, F., Obura, D., Shin, Y-J., Sloyan, B., Tanhua, T., Wilkin, J., (2018) Linking Capacity Development to GOOS Monitoring Networks to Achieve Sustained Ocean Observation, Frontiers in Marine Science, Front. Mar. Sci 5:346 https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00346
Boss, E., Waite, A., Muller-Karger, F., Yamazaki, H., Wanninkhof, R., Uitz, J., Thomalla, S., Sosik, H., Sloyan, B., Richardson, R., Miloslavich, P., Karstensen, J., Gregori, G., Fennel, K., Claustre, H., Cornejo, M., Berma-Frnak, I., Batten, S. and Acinas, S., (2018) Beyond Chlorophyll Fluorescence: The Time in Right to Expand Biological Measurements in Ocean Observing Programs. Limnology and Oceanography Bulletin 1-2 https://doi.org/10.1002/lob.10243
Dunstan, P.K., Foster, S.D., King, E., Risbey, J.S., O’Kane, T.J., Monselesan, D., Hobday, A., Hartog, J., Thompson, P., (2018) Interactions in global patterns of variation in Sea Surface Temperature and Chlorophyll A produce mesoscale unique states(accepted Scientific Reports)
Gwyther, D.E., O’Kane, T.J., Galton-Fenzi, B.K., Monselesan, D.P., (2018) Intrinsic processes drive variability in basal melting of the Totten Glacier Ice Shelf Nature Communications 9 3141 http://DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05618-2
Hauck, J., Lenton, A., Langlais, C., and Matear, R.J., (2018) The Fate of Carbon and Nutrients Exported Out of the Southern Ocean, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 40(2), 3419 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GB005977
Hurd, C. L., Lenton, A., Tilbrook, B., and Boyd, P. W., (2018) The Oceans in a Higher CO2 World: Current Status and Future Challenges, Nature Climate Change, 8 686-694 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0211-0
Ji, D., Fang, S., Curry, C. :., Kashimura, H., Watanabe, S., Cole, J. N. S., Lenton, A., Muri, H., Kravitz, B., and Moore, J. C. (2018): Extreme temperature and precipitation response to solar dimming and stratospheric aerosol geoengineeringAtmos. Chem. Phys. 18 10133-10156 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-10133-2018
Keller, D., Lenton, A., Littleton, E., Oschlies, A., Scott, V., Vaughan, N.E., The effects of carbon dioxide Removal on the carbon cycle, Current Climate Change Reports, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-018-0104-3
Keller, D., Lenton, A., Scott, V., Vaughan, N., Bauer, N., Jones, C., Kravitz, B., Muri, H., Zickfeld, K., The carbon dioxide removal model intercomparison project (CDRMIP)L Rationale and experimental design, Geosci. Mode. Dev., 11, 1133 – 1160 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1133-2018
Kravitz, B., Rasch, P.J., Wang, H., Robock, A., Gabriel, C., Boucher, O., Cole, J.N.S., Haywood, J., Ji, D., Jones, A., Lenton, A., Moore, J.C., Muri, H., Niemeier, U., Phipps, S., Schmidt, H., Watanabe, S., Yang, S., Yoon, J.H., The climate effects of increasing ocean albedo: an idealized representation of solar geoengineering, Atmos. Chem, Phys., 18, 13097 – 13113 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-13097-2018
Laiolo, Leonardo; Matear, Richard; Baird, Mark; Wozniak, Monika; Doblin, Martina (2018) Information content of in situ and remotely sensed Chlorophyll-a: Learning from size-structured phytoplankton model Journal of Marine Systems 183 1-12 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmarsys.2018.03.005
Lenton, Andrew; Matear, Richard; Keller, David; Scott, Vivian; Vaughan, Naomi; (2018) Assessing carbon dioxide removal through global and regional ocean alkalization under high and low emission pathwaysEarth System Dynamics 9 (2), 339-357. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-339-2018
Lenton, A., Matear, R.J., Mongin, M., Effects of climate change on ocean acidification relevant to Pacific islands, Pacific Islands Pacific Climate Change Report, Science Review, 31-42
Lewandowsky, S., Cowtan, K., Risbey, J.S., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Oreskes, N., and Rahmstorf, S., (2018) The ‘Pause’ in Global Warming in Historical Context: (II). Comparing Models to Observations, Environmental Research Letters 13 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf372
Menviel, L., Spence, P., Yu, J., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., Meissner, K.J., and England, M.H., (2018) Southern Hemisphere Westerlies as a Driver of the Early Deglacial Atmospheric CO² Rise, Nature Communications 9(1), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04876-4
O’Kane, T.J., Sandery, P.A., Monselesan, D.P., Sakov, P., Chamberlain, M.A., Matear, R.J., Collier, M., Squire, D.T and Stevens, L., (2018) Coupled Data Assimilation and Ensemble Initialisation with Application to Multi-Year ENSO Prediction, Journal of Climate, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0189.1
Raes, E.J., Bodrossy, L., Van De Kamp, J., Bissett, A., Ostrowski, M., Brown, M., Sow, S.L.S., Waite, A.M and Sloyan, B.M., (2018) Oceanographic Biome Boundaries Constrain Microbial Richness in the South Pacific Ocean, Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1719335115
Risbey, J.S., Lewandowsky, A., Cowtan, K., Oreskes, N., Rahmstorf, S., Jokimaki, A and Grant Foster., (2018) A Fluctuation in Surface Temperature in Historical Context: Reassessment and Retrospective on the Evidence, Environmental Research Letters 13 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf342
Risbey, James; O’Kane, Terry; Monselesan, Didier; Franzke, Christian; Horenko, Illia (2018) On the dynamics of Austral heat waves Journal of Geophysical, Atmospheres 123 (1) 38-57 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027222
Sandery, P., 2018: Data assimilation cycle length and observation impact in mesoscale ocean forecasting. Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 4011–4019, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4011-2018.
Schroeter, S., Hobbs, W., Bindoff, N. L., Massom, R., & Matear, R. J. (2018). Drivers of Antarctic Sea Ice Volume Change in CMIP5 Models. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 123(11), 7914–7938. http://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC014177
Tozer, C.R., Risbey, J.S., O’Kane, T.J., Monselesan, D.P., and Pook, M.J., (2018) The Relationship Between Wave Trains in the Southern Hemisphere Storm Track and Rainfall Extremes over Tasmania Mon, Wea, Rev., 1464201-4230 https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0135.1
Yang, L., Nikurashin, M., Hogg, A. McC., and Sloyan, B.M (2018) Energy Loss From Transient Eddies Due to Lee Wave Generation in the Southern Ocean Journal of Physical Oceanography https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-18-0077.1
January to July 2018
Buchanan, Pearse; Matear, Richard; Chase, Z; Phipps, Steven; Bindoff, Nathan (2018) Dynamic biological functioning important for simulating and stabilising ocean biogeochemistryGlobal Biogeochemical Cycles 1-69 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GB005753
Dunstan, Piers; Moore, Brad; Bell, Johann; Holbrook, Neil; Oliver, Eric; Risbey, James; Foster, Scott; Hanich, Quentin, Hobday, Alistair; Bennett, Nathan (2018) How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal fisheries in pacific small-island developing states? Marine Policy 88 295-302 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.033
Langlais, Clothilde; Lenton, Andrew; Matear, Richard; Monselesan, Didier; Legresy, Benoit; Rintoul, Steve (2018) Stationary Rossby Waves dominate subduction of Anthropogenic Carbon in the Southern Ocean Scientific Reports 7, 17076 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-17292-3
Llort Jordi, Joan; Langlais, Clothilde; Matear, Richard; Moreau, Sebastien; Lenton, Andrew; Strutton, Peter (2018) Evaluating Southern Ocean carbon eddy-pump from Biogeochemical- Argo Floats Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans 123 1-14 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JC012861
Seneviratne, S., Phipps, S.J., Ptman, A.J., Hirsch, A.L., Davin, E.L., Donat, MG., Hirschi, M., Lenton, A., Wilhelm, M., Kravitz, B., (2018) Land radiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation, Nature Geoscience 11 88-96 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5
Sloyan, B.M., Roughan, M., Hill, K., (2018) The Global Ocean Observing System. In New Frontiers in Operational Oceanography, E. Chassignet, A.Pascual, J. Tintoré, and J. Verron, Eds., GODAE OceanView, 75-90
Selected Publications 2017
Buchanan, Pearse; Matear, Richard; Lenton, Andrew; Etheridge, David (2017) The simulated climate of the last glacial maximum and insights into the global carbon cycle Climate of the Past 12 1-25 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-1-2016
Grose, Michael; Black, Mitchell; Risbey, James; Uhe, Peter; Hope, Pandora; Haustein, Kerstin; Mitchell, Daniel (2018) Severe frosts in Western Australia in September 2016 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 1-5 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0088.1
Melbourne-Thomas, Jessica; Constable, Andrew; Fulton, Beth; Corney, Stuart; Blanchard, Julia; Boschetti, Fabio; Brown, Chris; Bustamante, Rodrigo; Cropp, Roger; Everett, Jason; Fleming, Aysha; Galton-Fenzi, Ben; Goldsworthy, Simon; Lara-Lopez, Ana; Little, Rich; Marzloff, Martin; Matear, Richard; Mongin, Mathieu; Hobday, Alistair; Plaganyi-Lloyd, Eva; Proctor, Roger; Lenton, Andrew; Risbey, James; Robson, Barbara; Smith, David; Summer, Michael; Trebilco, Rowan; Van Putten, Ingrid (2017) Integrated modelling to support decision-making for marine social-ecological systems in Australia ICES Journal of Marine Systems https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsx078
O’Kane, Terry; Monselesan, Didier; Risbey, James; (2017) A multiscale re-examination of the Pacific South American Pattern Monthly Weather Review 145 (1) 379-402 https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0291.1
O’Kane, Terry; Monselesan, Didier; Risbey, James; Horenko, Illia; Franzke, Christian (2017) On memory, dimension and atmospheric teleconnections Mathematics of Climate and Weather Forecasting3 (1) 1-27 https://doi.org/10.1515/mcwf-2017-0001
Risbey, James; Grose, Michael; Monselesan, Didier; O’Kane, Terry; Lewandowsky, Stephan (2017) Transient response of the global mean warming rate and its spatial variation Weather and Climate Extremes 8 (S1) 55-64 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2017.11.002
