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Publications

PRESENTATIONS

Richard Matear’s Climate Science Center Presentation: 21/06/2017: CSC_DCPP_Intro

Andrew Lenton’s ICDC10 Presentation: 24/08/2017: Lenton_ICDC10

 

RECENT PUBLICATIONS

Risbey, J., T. O’Kane, D. Monselesan, C. Franzke and I. Horenko  2018: On the dynamics of Austral heat-waves.  J. Geophys.Res., in press.

Dunstan, P., B. Moore, J. Bell, N. Holbrook, E. Oliver, J. Risbey, S. Foster, Q. Hanich, A. Hobday, and N. Bennett 2017: How can climate predictions improve sustainability of coastal  fisheries in Pacific small-island developing states? Marine Policy, in press.

Crimp, S., P. Kokic, J. Risbey, N. Nicholls, D. Gobbett, and  M. Howden 2017: Synoptic to Large Scale Drivers of Minimum Temperature Variability in Australia — Multi-Decadal Changes.Int. J. Clim., in press.

Risbey, J., M. Grose, D. Monselesan, T. O’Kane, and S. Lewandowsky 2017: Transient response of the global mean warming
rate and its spatial variation.   Weather and Climate Extremes,18, 55-64.

Grose, M. M. Black, J. Risbey, P. Uhe, P. Hope, K. Haustein, and D. Mitchell 2017: Severe frosts in Western Australia in September
2016.  Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., in press.

Melbourne-Thomas et al. 2017: Integrated modelling to support decision-making for marine social-ecological systems in Australia.
J. Marine Science,74,9, 2298–2308.

Lewandowsky, S., J. Risbey, and N. Oreskes 2017: Are cops on the science beat?.  Issues in Science and Technology, Fall, 5.

Risbey, J. and S. Lewandowsky 2017: The `pause’ unpacked. Nature, 545 (7652), 37–39.

Alford, M, Sloyan, B. M., Simmons, H., 2017. Internal waves in the East Australian Current. Geophysical Research Letters, in press

Cetina-Heredia, P., van Sebille, E., Matear, R. J. and Roughan, M.: Nitrate sources, supply, and phytoplankton growth in the Great Australian Bight: An Eulerian-Lagrangian modelling approach, Global biogeochemical Cycles, in press, 2017.

Everett, J. D., Baird, M. E., Buchanan, P., Bulman, C., Davies, C., Downie, R., Griffiths, C., Heneghan, R., Kloser, R. J., Laiolo, L., Lara-Lopez, A., Lozano-Montes, H., Matear, R. J., McEnnulty, F., Robson, B., Rochester, W., Skerratt, J., Smith, J. A., Strzelecki, J., Suthers, I. M., Swadling, K. M., van Ruth, P. and Richardson, A. J.: Modeling What We Sample and Sampling What We Model: Challenges for Zooplankton Model Assessment, Front. Mar. Sci., 4, 1, doi:10.3389/fmars.2017.00077, 2017.

Langlais, C. E., Lenton A. et al, Local SST variability determines the pathways towards future coral bleaching risk, 2017, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/nclimate3399

Langlais, C. E., Lenton, A., Matear, R. J., Monselesan, D., Legresy, B., Cougnon, E. and Rintoul, S.: Stationary Rossby waves dominate subduction of anthropogenic carbon in the Southern Ocean, Sci. Rep., 1–11, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-17292-3, 2017.

Llort, J., Langlais, C., Matear, R. J., Moreau, S., Lenton, A. and Strutton, P. G.: Southern Ocean subduction pathways from bgcArgo oxygen profiles, J Geophys Res-Oceans, in press, 2017.

Melbourne-Thomas, J., Constable, A. J., Fulton, E. A., Corney, S. P., Trebilco, R., Hobday, A. J., Blanchard, J. L., Boschetti, F., Bustamante, H, R., Cropp, R, Everett, D, J., Fleming, A, Galton-Fenzi, B, Goldsworthy, D, S., Lenton, A, Lara-Lopez, A, Little, R, Marzloff, P, M., Matear, R, Mongin, M, Plaganyi, E, Proctor, R, Risbey, S, J., Robson, J, B., Smith, C, D., D, M., van Putten and I, E.: Integrated modelling to support decision-making for marine social-ecological systems in Australia, ICES Journal of Marine Systems, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsx078, 2017.

Moreau, S., Penna, Della, A., Llort, J., Patel, R., Langlais, C., Boyd, P. W., Matear, R. J., Phillips, H. E., Trull, T. W., Tilbrook, B., Lenton, A. and Strutton, P. G.: Eddy-induced carbon transport across the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, Global biogeochemical cycles, 14(3), 381, doi:10.1002/2017gb005669, 2017.

Tulloch, V. J. D., Plagányi, É. E., Matear, R., Brown, C. and Richardson, A.: Ecosystem modeling to quantify the impact of historical whaling on Southern Hemisphere baleen whales, Fish and Fisheries, 1–40, 2017.

Horenko, S. Gerber, T.J. O’Kane, J.S. Risbey and D. Monselesan (2017) On inference 
and validation of causality relations in climate teleconnections, In Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, pp 184-208

B.T. Nadiga and T.J. O’Kane (2017) Low-frequency regime transitions and predictability of regimes in a barotropic model, In Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, pp136-158

J.S. Frederiksen, V. Kitsios, T.J. Okane, & MJ Zidikheri, 2017, Stochastic subgrid modelling for geophysical and three-dimensional turbulence, In Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, pp 241-275.

C.L.E. Franzke and T.J. O’Kane (2017) “Nonlinear and Stochastic Climate Dynamics” Cambridge University Press (ISBN: 9781107118140  468 pages)

Berner, J., Achatz, U., Lauriane, B., De La Camara, A., Christensen, H. Colangeli, M., Coleman, D., Crommelin, D., Dolaptchiev, S.I., Franzke, C.L.E., Friederichs, P., Imkeller, P., Jarvinen, H., Juricke, S., Kitsios, V., Lott, F., Lucarini, V., Mahajan, S., Palmer, T.N., Penland, C., Sakradzija, M., Von Storch, J.-S., Weisheimer, A., Weniger, M., Williams, P.D. & Yano, J.-I., 2017, Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of Weather and Climate Models, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 98, pp 565–588 .

K.D. Williams, 27 UK authors, and I.G. Watterson (2017) The Met Office Global Coupled model 3.0 and 3.1 (GC3.0 & GC3.1) configurations. in press Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

J.S. Risbey, T.J. O’Kane, D.P. Monselesan, C.L.E. Franzke, I. Horenko (2017) On the dynamics of austral heat waves (accepted JGR Atmosphere)

T.J. O’Kane, D. Monselesan, J. Risbey, I. Horenko & C. Franzke (2017) On memory, 
dimension, and atmospheric teleconnection patterns (Mathematics of Climate & Weather Forecasting vol 3, 1-27)

T.J. O’Kane, D.P. Monselesan and J.S. Risbey (2017) A multiscale re-examination of 
the Pacific South American pattern (Monthly Weather Review 145, 379-402)

Law2017  Law, R. M., Ziehn, T., Matear, R. J., Lenton, A., Chamberlain, M. A., Stevens, L. E., Wang, Y. P., Srbinovsky, J., Bi, D., Yan, H. and Vohralik, P. F.: The carbon cycle in the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS-ESM1) — Part 1: Model description and pre-industrial simulation, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 8(accepted), 8063–8116, doi:10.5194/gmdd-8-8063-2015, 2017.

OKane_mcwf2017 T.J. O’Kane, D. Monselesan, J. Risbey, I. Horenko & C. Franzke (2017) On memory, dimension, and atmospheric teleconnection patterns (Mathematics of Climate & Weather Forecasting, 3, pp1–27)

OKane_mwr2017 T.J. O’Kane, D.P. Monselesan and J.S. Risbey (2017) A multiscale re-examination of the Pacific South American pattern (Monthly Weather Review 145, pp379-402)

Suppiah, R. and Collier, M.A. (2017). Climate change in south asia from CMIP5 simulations. International conference on computational Modeling & Simulation (ICCMS-2017), Colombo, Sri Lanka. Invited presentation.

Ziehn2017 Ziehn, T., Lenton, A., Law, R. M., Matear, R. J. and Chamberlain, M. A.: The carbon cycle in the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS-ESM1). 2. Historical simulations, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., accepted, 1–39, doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-14, 2017.

Collier2016 Collier, M.A. (2016). Pacific trade wind intensifier. Nature Clim. Change,6,743–744DOI:10.1038/nclimate3023

OKane_et_al-2016-JGRO T.J. O’Kane, D.P. Monselesan and C. Maes (2016) On the stability and spatio-temporal variance distribution of upper ocean salinity (JGR-Oceans J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 121, doi:10.1002/2015JC011523.)

Salinger2016 Salinger, J., Hobday, A. J., Matear, R. J., O’Kane, T. J., Risbey, J. S., Eveson, J. P., Fulton, E. A., Feng, M., Plagnyi, E., Poloczanska, E. S., Marshall, A. G. and Thompson, P. A.: Decadal-Scale Forecasting of Climate Drivers for Marine Applications, Advances in Marine Biology, 1–68, doi:10.1016/bs.amb.2016.04.002, 2016.

Matear2015-3 Matear, R. J., O’Kane, T. J., Risbey, J. S. and Chamberlain, M.: Sources of heterogeneous variability and trends in Antarctic sea-ice, Nature Communications, 6(8656), doi:10.1038/ncomms9656, 2015.

Risbey_jas2015 Risbey, J.S., T.J. O’Kane, D.P. Monselesan, C. Franzke, and I. Horenko, 2015: Metastability of Northern Hemisphere Teleconnection Modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 35–54, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0020.1

Risbey_pta2015 Risbey JS, Lewandowsky S, Hunter JR, Monselesan DP. 2015 Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 373: 20140463. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0463

Risbey_ncc2014 James S. Risbey, Stephan Lewandowsky, Clothilde Langlais, Didier P. Monselesan, Terence J. O’Kane & Naomi Oreskes (2014). Well-estimated global surface warming in climate projections selected for ENSO phase. Nature Climate Change4, 835–840 doi:10.1038/nclimate2310