Skip to main content



Selected publications from TEPs project researchers (Bold indicates affiliation to the TEPS project over the history of the project). Please contact authors for a copy of any paper.


Alderman, R.A., Tuck, G.N., Castillo-Jordan, C., Haddon, M. and Punt, A.E. (2019). Macquarie Island’s northern giant petrels and the impacts of pest eradication on population abundance. Ecological Modelling 393: 66-75 | doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.11.004

Roman, L., Hardesty, B.D., Hindell, M.A. and Wilcox, C. (2019). A quantitative analysis linking seabird mortality and marine debris ingestion. Scientific Reports 9, Article number: 3202 (2019) | doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36585-9

Thomas Clay, Cleo Small, Geoffrey N Tuck, Deborah Pardo, A G Wood, J P Croxall, and Richard Phillip (2019). A comprehensive assessment of fisheries bycatch risk to threatened seabird populations. Journal of Applied Ecology | doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.13407

Dimas Gianuca, Stephen C Votier, Deborah Pardo, A G Wood, Louise Ireland, Roger Pradel, Jaume Forcada, Geoffrey N Tuck, and Richard Phillips (2019). Sex-specific effects of fisheries and climate on the demography of sexually dimorphic seabirds. Journal of Applied Ecology | doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13009



Chambault, P., Albertsen, C.M., Patterson, T.A, Hansen, R.G., Tervo, O., Laidre, K.L. and M.P. Heide-Jørgensen (2018). Sea surface temperature predicts the movements of an Arctic cetacean: the bowhead whale. Scientific Reports 8, Article number: 9658 (2018) | doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-27966-1

Cvitanovic, C. and A. J. Hobday (2018). Building optimism at the environmental science-policy-practice interface through the study of bright spots. Nature Communications 9, Article number: 3466 (2018) | doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-05977-w

Koopman, M., Boag, S., Tuck, G.N., Hudson, R., Knuckey, I. and R. Alderman (2018). ). Industry-based development of effective new seabird mitigation devices in the southern Australian trawl fisheries. Endangered Species Research 36: 197-211 | doi: 10.3354/esr00896

Mason, C., Alderman, R., McGown, J., Possingham, H., Hobday, A.J., Sumner, M. and J. Shaw (2018). Telemetry shows existing marine protected areas are worse than random for protecting the Shy Albatross (Thalassarche cauta). Diversity and Distribution 24: 1744-1755 | doi: 10.1111/ddi.12830

Wilcox, C., A. J. Hobday and L. E. Chambers (2018). Using expert elicitation to rank ecological indicators for detecting climate impacts on Australian seabirds and pinnipeds. Ecological Indicators 95(1): 637-644 | doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.07.019



Alderman, R. and A. J. Hobday (2017). Developing a climate adaptation strategy for vulnerable seabirds based on prioritisation of intervention options. Deep Sea Research II: Tropical Studies in Oceanography | doi: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2016.07.003.

Hobday, A.J., L.E. Chambers, and N. Roslan (2017). Prioritising climate change adaptation options for iconic marine species. Snapshot for CoastAdapt, National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Gold Coast.

Leos‐Barajas, V., T. Photopoulou, R. Langrock, TA Patterson, YY Watanabe, M Murgatroyd, YP Papastamatiou (2017). Analysis of animal accelerometer data using hidden Markov models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 8: 161-173 | doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12657

Michael, P. E., R. Thomson, C. Barbraud, K. Delord, S. De Grissac, A. J. Hobday, P. G. Strutton, G. N. Tuck, H. Weimerskirch and C. Wilcox (2017). Illegal fishing bycatch overshadows climate as a driver of albatross population decline. Marine Ecology Progress Series 579: 185–199 | doi: 10.3354/meps12248

Michael, P. E., C. Wilcox, G. N. Tuck, A. J. Hobday and P. G. Strutton (2017). Fleet dynamics and climate change in the southern Indian Ocean: shared strategies but distinct targeting produces unique effort patterns for Japanese and Taiwanese pelagic longline fleets. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography | doi: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2016.12.003

Michelot, T., R. Langrock, S. Bestley, I. D. Jonsen, T. Photopoulou, T. A. Patterson (2017). Estimation and simulation of foraging trips in land-based marine predators. Ecology. 98: 1932-194 | doi: 10.1002/ecy.1880

Michelot, T., R. Langrock, T. A. Patterson (2017). moveHMM: An R package for the statistical modelling of animal movement data using hidden Markov models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 7: 1308-1315 | doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12578

Patterson, T. A., Alison Parton, Roland Langrock, Paul G. Blackwell, Len Thomas, Ruth King (2017). Statistical modelling of individual animal movement: an overview of key methods and a discussion of practical challenges. Advances in Statistical Analysis.

Patterson, T.A., RJ Sharples, B Raymond, DC Welsford, V Andrews-Goff, MA Lea, SD Goldsworthy, NJ Gales, M Hindell (2017). Foraging distribution overlap and marine reserve usage amongst sub-Antarctic predators inferred from a multi-species satellite tagging experiment. Ecological Indicators. 70: 531-544 | doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.05.049

Silber, G. K., M. Lettrich, P. O. Thomas, J. Baker, M. Baumgartner, E. A. Becker, P. Boveng, D. Dick, J. Fiechter, J. Forcada, K. A. Forney, R. Griffis, J. A. Hare, A. J. Hobday, D. Howell, K. Laidre, N. Mantua, L. Quakenbush, J. A. Santora, P. Spencer, K. Stafford, C. Stock, W. Sydeman, K. V. Houtan and R. S. Waples (2017). Projecting Marine Mammal Distribution in a Changing Climate. Frontiers in Marine Science: Global Change and Future Ocean | doi: 10.3389/fmars.2017.00413



Basson, M., M. V. Bravington, J. R. Hartog, and T. A. Patterson (2016). “Experimentally Derived Likelihoods for Light-Based Geolocation.” Methods in Ecology and Evolution 7 (8): 980–89.

Hardesty, B.D., T.J. Lawson, T. van der Velde, M. Lansdell, C. Wilcox (2016).  Estimating quantities and sources of marine debris at a continental scale.  Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. | doi: 10.1002/fee.1447

McCreless, E. E., D. D. Huff, D. A. Croll, B. R. Tershy, D. R. Spatz, N. D. Holmes, S. H. M. Butchart and C. Wilcox (2016). Past and estimated future impact of invasive alien mammals on insular threatened vertebrate populations. Nature Communications 7: 12488 | doi: 10.1038/ncomms12488.

Patterson, TA, RJ Sharples, B Raymond, DC Welsford, V Andrews-Goff, MA Lea, SD Goldsworthy, NJ Gales, and M Hindell (2016). “Foraging Distribution Overlap and Marine Reserve Usage Amongst Sub-Antarctic Predators Inferred from a Multi-Species Satellite Tagging Experiment.” Ecological Indicators 70: 531–44.

Thygesen, U H, L Sommer, K Evans, and T A Patterson (2016). “Dynamic Optimal Foraging Theory Explains Vertical Migrations of Bigeye Tuna.” Ecology 97 (7): 1852–61 | doi: 10.1890/15-1130.1

Wilcox, C., B.D. Hardesty.   Biodegradable nets are not a panacea, but can contribute to addressing the ghost fishing problem. Animal Conservation 19:322-323 | doi: 10.1111/acv.12300

Wilcox, C. N. Mallos, G.H. Leonard, A. Rodriguez, B.D. Hardesty (2016). Using expert elicitation to estimate the impacts of marine debris on marine wildlife.  Marine Policy 65:107-114 | doi: 10.1016/j.marpol.2015.10.014



Chambers, L. E., T. A. Patterson, A. J. Hobday, J. P. Y. Arnould, G. N. Tuck, C. Wilcox and P. Dann (2015). Determining trends and environmental drivers from long-term marine mammal and seabird data: examples from Southern Australia. Regional Environmental Change 15(1): 197-209 doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0634-8.

Lawson, T.J., K. Johns; Wilcox; P. Dann; B.D. Hardesty (2015).  Characteristics of marine debris that entangle Australian Fur seals (Arctocephalus pusillus doriferus) in southern Australia.  Marine Pollution Bulletin 98:354-357.  doi:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2015.05.053

Lynch, T. P., R. Alderman and A. J. Hobday (2015). A high-resolution panorama camera system for monitoring colony-wide seabird nesting behaviour. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 6(5): 491-495 doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12339.

Michael, P. E., G. N. Tuck, P. Strutton and A. Hobday (2015). Environmental associations with broad-scale Japanese and Taiwanese pelagic longline effort in the southern Indian and Atlantic Oceans. Fisheries Oceanography 24(5): 478-493. doi:10.1111/fog.12123.

Raymond, B, M Lea, T Patterson, V Andrews-Goff, R Sharples, J.B. Charrassin, M Cottin, et al. (2015). “Important Marine Habitat Off East Antarctica Revealed by Two Decades of Multi-Species Predator Tracking.” Ecography 38 (2): 121–29.

Thomson, R. B., R. L. Alderman, G. N. Tuck and A. J. Hobday (2015). Effects of climate change and fisheries bycatch on shy albatross (Thalassarche cauta) in southern Australia. PLoS ONE 10(6): e0127006. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0127006.

Tuck, G. N., R. B. Thomson, C. Barbraud, K. Delord, M. Louzao, M. Herrera and H. Weimerskirch (2015). An integrated assessment model of seabird population dynamics: can individual heterogeneity in susceptibility to fishing explain abundance trends in Crozet wandering albatross? Journal of Applied Ecology 52: 950-959.

Wilcox, C.,  E. van Sebille, B.D. Hardesty (2015).  Threat of plastic pollution to seabirds is global, pervasive, and increasing.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112(38):11899–11904. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1502108112


Hobday, A. J., L. E. Chambers, J. P. Y. Arnould, T. A. Patterson, C. Wilcox, G. N. Tuck and R. B. Thomson (2014). Developing adaptation options for seabirds and marine mammals impacted by climate change. Final Report. FRDC-DCCEE Marine National Adaptation Research Project 2010/0533.

Hobday, A. J., L. E. Chambers and J. P. Y. Arnould (2015). Methods to prioritise adaptation options for iconic seabirds and marine mammals impacted by climate change. Applied Studies in Climate Adaptation. J. P. Palutikof, S. L. Boulter, J. Barnett and D. Rissik, Wiley: 77-94.

Langrock, Roland, J Grant C Hopcraft, Paul G Blackwell, Victoria Goodall, Ruth King, Mu Niu, Toby A Patterson, Martin W Pedersen, Anna Skarin, and Robert S Schick. 2014. “Modelling Group Dynamic Animal Movement.” Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5 (2): 190–99.

Woehler, E. J., T. A. Patterson, M. Bravington, A. J. Hobday and L. E. Chambers (2014). Climate and competition in abundance trends in native and invasive Tasmanian gulls. Marine Ecology Progress Series 511: 249-263.

Wilcox, C., E. van Sebille and B. D. Hardesty (2015). Threat of plastic pollution to seabirds is global, pervasive, and increasing. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science U.S.A.:


Barbraud, C., G. N. Tuck, R. Thomson, K. Delord and H. Weimerskirch (2013). Fisheries Bycatch as an Inadvertent Human-Induced Evolutionary Mechanism. PLoS ONE 8(4): e60353. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0060353.

Donlan, C. J., D. K. Wingfield, L. B. Crowder and C. Wilcox (2010). Using expert opinion surveys to rank threats to endangered species: A case study with sea turtles. Conservation Biology 24: 1586-1595.

Lavers, J., C. Wilcox and C. J. Donlan (2012). Bird demographic responses to predator removal programs. Biological Invasions 12: 3839–3859.

Moore, J.E., Curtis, K.A., Lewison, R.L., Dillingham, P.W., Cope, J.M., Fordham, S.V., Heppell, S.S., Pardo, S.A., Simpfendorfer, C.A., Tuck, G.N., and Zhou, S. 2013. Evaluating sustainability of fisheries bycatch mortality for marine megafauna: a review of conservation reference points for data-limited populations. Environmental Conservation. 40: 329 -344.

Patterson, Toby A, Len Thomas, Chris Wilcox, Otso Ovaskainen, and Jason Matthiopoulos. (2008). “State–space Models of Individual Animal Movement.” Trends in Ecology & Evolution 23 (2): 87–94.

Tuck, G. N., Polacheck, T., Croxall, J. P., Weimerskirch, H. (2001). Modelling the impact of fishery by-catches on albatross populations. Journal of Applied Ecology. 38(6):1182-1196

Tuck, G. N., Polacheck, T., Bulman, C. M. (2003). Spatio-temporal trends of longline fishing effort in the Southern Ocean and implications for seabird bycatch. Biological Conservation. 114(1):1-27

Tuck, G.N. (2011). Are bycatch rates sufficient as the principal fishery performance measure and method of assessment for seabirds? Aquatic Conservation. 21(5):412-422.

Tuck, G. N., R. A. Phillips, C. Small, R. B. Thomson, N. L. Klaer, F. Taylor, R. M. Wanless and H. Arrizabalaga (2011). An assessment of seabird–fishery interactions in the Atlantic Ocean. ICES Journal of Marine Science 68: 1628-1637.