Simon Ferrier leads the macroecological modelling team’s research into developing and applying a new generation of models. These approaches view biodiversity from a more holistic macroecological or “top down” perspective and focus on collective properties of biodiversity as a more powerful and cost-effective means of encompassing the highly diverse, yet lesser known and/or poorly sampled, biological groups into practical conservation assessment, and across extensive regions. Google Scholar
Karel Mokany is a research scientist who focuses on developing, testing and applying new macroecological modelling approaches to improve understanding and management of biodiversity under scenarios of global change. He is particularly interested in better incorporating important ecological processes into macroecological modelling techniques. Web Profile Google Scholar
Tom Harwood is a spatial ecological modeller and software engineer currently working on development and implementation of accelerated new analyses of national and international response of the biota to global change. Recent work includes quantification of climate change, identification of refugia, dynamic metacommunity modelling, climate scenario downscaling, projection of water balance and remote sensing of habitat condition. Previous spatial work includes dispersal ecology, geneflow, epidemiology and microclimate. Web Profile Google Scholar
Chris Ware is an experimental scientist working on approaches to evaluating forecasts of biodiversity change by using knowledge of biodiversity responses to past climatic changes. Current projects include the development of a framework for evaluating biodiversity models using palaeoclimate simulations, and downscaling palaeoclimate simulations. Web Profile Google Scholar
Moreno Di Marco is a research scientist in the team, working on global-scale conservation planning and macroecological analyses in the context of international biodiversity targets. He is particularly interested in predicting the effect of global land use and climate change on species extinction risk, and how this affects aggregate biodiversity patterns. He is currently investigating the level of surrogacy across different taxa for use in conservation target monitoring, and he is contributing to the investigation of current and future scenarios of land use impact on biological communities. Google Scholar ResearchGate
Christiana McDonald-Spicer is a PhD student based at the Australian National University, and is being co-supervised by Simon Ferrier, Craig Moritz and others. Christiana is developing and applying community-level modelling approaches to identify refugia, focusing on reptiles in the monsoonal tropics of northern Australia.
Kristen Williams is a Senior Research Scientist and Group Leader at CSIRO, with expertise in spatial ecological modelling and biodiversity conservation planning. Collectively, her work tests the hypothesis that incorporating system understanding of ecology and environment in land evaluation research will result in more enduring planning and policy decisions, when coupled with a participatory action-research process. Web Profile Google Scholar
Andrew Hoskins undertook a postdoctoral fellowship (2014-2017) with the team, working on new approaches for modelling biodiversity data. He developed methods for deriving and modelling community level metrics from the kinds of messy presence only data sets that are commonly found within ecological databases. Additional projects included applying statistical downscaling methods to produce fine-grained global land-use data layers. Google Scholar
Alex Bush undertook a postdoctoral fellowship (2014-2016) with the team, working as part of the GBACC project, studying how estimates of resilience and evolutionary adaptation can be incorporated into species and community-level projections under climate change. He is particularly interested in applying macroecological methods to inform policy regarding monitoring and conservation planning. Web Profile Google Scholar
Hugh Burley completed a PhD with the team, being based at UNSW. His project investigated the macroecological links between ecosystem processes (such as productivity) and beta diversity across a range of spatio-temporal scales and biological levels, and whether the ecosystem processes within biologically heterogeneous (higher β-diversity) regions display greater resilience to environmental change?
James McCarthy completed a PhD with the team, being based at the University of Queensland. His project is focused on extending existing macroecological modelling approaches to incorporate abundance, size class and functional trait information to model plant community composition, ecosystem productivity (using metabolic theory) and functional change under climate change. Central to this project is the hypothesis that areas of high β-diversity will have more functional redundancy and, therefore, increased functional resilience to climate change as plant distributions shift. Web Profile Google Scholar
Renee Catullo undertook a postdoctoral fellowship (2012-2015) with Simon Ferrier as part of a large, multi-institution grant investigating the genomic basis for adaptation to climate change. She developed a framework for incorporating physiological limits and adaptive evolution into spatial predictions of climate change. Additional projects Renee was involved with included testing proxies for assessing physiological limits of organisms, modelling adaptive evolution on the landscape in response to climate change, and phylogenomics of the Drosophilidae. Web Profile Google Scholar