Nitrogen fertiliser decisions – the good, the right and the risky
Take home messages
- The ‘right’ N fertiliser decision maximises profit, replaces N taken out in grain plus any N lost from the soil, and minimises chances of losing money in any given year.
- It is difficult to make the ‘right’ N decision every year, but ‘good’ decisions are relatively easy and are more likely to be ‘right’, particularly when reviewed over several years.
- There are many ways of making ‘good’ N decisions that suit different decision-making preferences – pick one that suits you and use it.
- Check that your ‘good’ decision-making system is ‘right’ in the short-term using grain protein, and in the long-term using a partial N balance.
Risk and reward of different N budgeting approaches: Insights from farming system and RiskWi$e research
Author: Lindsay Bell (CSIRO), Ismail Garba (CSIRO), Jeremy Whish (CSIRO), Jayne Gentry (QDAF), James Hunt (CSIRO / University of Melbourne) | Date: 27 Feb 2025
Take home messages
- Getting your nitrogen (N) fertiliser strategy right is critical to maximising yield potential while avoiding risks of N losses, soil fertility decline and managing costs
- N budgets that target higher seasonal yield predictions, don’t require extra N year after year, as excess N is cycled into subsequent years and is not wasted.
- Rather than applying a crop-by-crop approach to N supply, take a multi-year perspective to maintain the soil N status to avoid continued soil fertility mining
- Setting an annual target N supply rather than tailoring this to each season can perform well in northern farming systems
Fast Graphs for slow thinking – An example using nitrogen
Author: Peter Hayman (SARDI Climate Applications), Barry Mudge (Mudge Consulting) | Date: 06 Feb 2024
Take home messages
- When choosing a single target yield for N budgeting, a grower has one chance in 10 of selecting the right rainfall decile and only considers the year of application. . Concern about applying too much N contributes to conservative rates which have been identified as an important cause of the gap in actual and potential yield and profit.
- For growers and advisers who do want to consider a seasonally responsive approach to N management, we have developed the Fast Graphs for Slow Thinking spreadsheet (Figure 2), which uses the 40kg N/t wheat rule to consider the upside and downside by budgeting across all 10 deciles. We also encourage users to vary the rate of N carryover and see how this changes the risk and reward outcome.
Back to nitrogen basics – Soil testing and nitrogen budgeting fundamentals
Author: James Hunt (The University of Melbourne) | Date: 06 Feb 2024
Take home messages
- Nitrogen (N) fertiliser rate decisions based on soil test data and a formalised decision process are more profitable than fixed rates or decisions based on ‘gut feel’.
- This article goes back to basics on N budgeting and is designed to help young agronomists make better N fertiliser recommendations.
- The article simplifies a lot of complex topics and should just be a starting point for learning about N management in southern Australian farming systems.
Nitrogen strategies for N banking
Author: Yolanda Plowman, Kate Finger (Birchip Croppin Group), Jame Hunt, Arjun Pandey (University of Melbourne), Mark Farrell (CSIRO) | Date: 17 Jul 2024
Take home messages
- Some growers struggle with making informed nitrogen decisions but decision support systems or approaches like Yield Prophet® and N banks can help.
- Both strategies produce ideal outcomes, however Yield Prophet may be an ideal tool for ‘active’ managers, whereas N banks may be ideal for ‘passive’ managers.
- In a multi-year N management trial (2018-2023), the YP50% and NB125 strategies provided high gross margins, whilst mitigating environmental N loss through lower (but positive) partial N balances.
RiskWise N management systems – exploring N banking in the northern region
Author: Lindsay Bell (CSIRO), Ismail Garba (CSIRO), Heidi Horan (CSIRO), James Hunt (University of Melbourne) | Date: 30 Jul 2024
Take home messages
- Developing a robust nitrogen (N) fertiliser strategy is critical to maximising seasonal yield potential while avoiding long-term carbon decline and mitigating risks of N losses
- Tactical N budgeting in the face of uncertain seasonal outcomes is tricky and has high data demands to make helpful predictions of seasonal yield potential
- Longer-term strategic approaches can be simpler and have advantages of incurring costs following higher profit years, but have higher risks of N losses
- Take a multi-year perspective on nitrogen use efficiency and return on investment rather than just the year of application
- Strategic approaches like N banking can perform well in northern farming systems allowing yield potential to be maximised while avoiding environmental losses
- Setting the appropriate N target to balance the upside and downside risks is likely to be influenced by your risk attitude.