CSIRO Experience

February 20th, 2020

Marine and terrestrial socio-ecological models are powerful tools of observational data integration*, future scenarios analysis and the definition of safe operating spaces for human activities.

The whole-of-system models developed by CSIRO and its marine ecosystem modeling group have granted support information for decision making, marine regional planning, fishing management impacts, support for a sustainable aquaculture, alternative livelihoods, and also climate change comprehension and management, to a variety of national and international organisms (including the National Fishery Service, Australian government agencies, NOAA and the FAO).

The whole-of-system combines independent agent-based models, cellular automata, empirical models based on observations and models based on stochastic differential equations. Together, they simulate the temporal and spatial dynamics of the marine ecosystem and the activities carried out in the territory (land and sea).



Figure 1 shows a diagram of the systems model developed within the framework of the Integrated Management System for Southern Aquaculture project developed by SERNAPESCA and CSIRO Chile (2016 to 2018) for the Los Lagos, Aysén and Magallanes Regions. The figure shows the different types of sub-models (autonomous and integrated), with the color indicating the type of modeling used in each module.
*geospatial data, time series, specific observations.